Botola Pro: Match Analysis, Probabilities and Statistics

Tablet showing a football tactical diagram

The Botola Pro, known as the Botola Pro Inwi for sponsorship reasons, is the top tier of professional football in Morocco. It brings together clubs known right across Africa, such as Wydad, Raja, AS FAR and RS Berkane. This page explains the 2026-27 format, gives the key figures from 2025-26 and shows how Prediction AI analyses a match in the league. It deliberately contains no table or fixture list: that data changes every matchweek, so check the official sources, including the Royal Moroccan Football Federation (frmf.ma).

Competition format, 2026-27 season

Clubs: 16 clubs. The 16-team format was kept despite proposals to expand to 20. Three clubs promoted from Botola Pro 2 join the top flight: Moghreb Tétouan, Wydad Témara and US Amal Tiznit.
Matchweeks: each club plays the other 15 home and away, which makes 30 matchweeks and 240 matches. The season kicked off on 24 September 2026.
Relegation: in 2025-26 the bottom two went straight down, while the clubs in 13th and 14th played off against the sides finishing 3rd and 4th in Botola Pro 2. Check the rules for the current season, as they can change.
Licensing: promotion to the top flight now also depends on meeting licensing criteria (facilities, administration and finances), not on league position alone.
African competitions: the leading clubs qualify for the CAF Champions League and the CAF Confederation Cup. For 2026-27, MAS Fès and RS Berkane play in the Champions League, Raja and AS FAR in the Confederation Cup.

2025-26 season: the figures worth knowing

The 2025-26 title was decided on the 30th and final matchday, 5 July 2026. Maghreb de Fès (MAS) beat Olympique Dcheira 2-0 and finished on 59 points, two clear of RS Berkane. It was the club’s fifth league title and its first since 1985. The season ran on into July because of problems organising the fixture calendar.

At the bottom, Union Yacoub El Mansour and Olympic Safi went down to the second tier, joined by Olympique Dcheira, who lost their play-off to US Amal Tiznit. Soufiane Benjdida (MAS) finished as top scorer with 20 goals, a total not reached in the Botola since 1990.

Statistically, the Botola Pro is a tight league: 519 goals in 240 matches, or 2.16 goals per match, compared with 2.75 in the Premier League the same season. Above all, more than one match in three ended in a draw, a far higher share than in the Premier League (27%). Home advantage exists, but it is moderate.

Indicator	2025-26 season
Matches played	240
Goals scored	519
Average goals per match	2.16
Home wins	92 (38%)
Draws	83 (35%)
Away wins	65 (27%)

Source: Hespress, Panafrica Football, Médias24 and the English Wikipedia page for the 2025-26 season; the totals and the home / draw / away split are calculated from the published results grid. Figures are from a completed season and are a guide only.

What makes these matches distinctive to analyse

The draw matters: with 35% draws in 2025-26, the probability of a draw should never be underestimated, even when there is a clear favourite.
Few goals: an average of 2.16 goals per match makes under 2.5 goals a common outcome, to be adjusted for the two teams.
An irregular calendar: African competitions, international breaks and postponements can shift matchweeks, so the exact match date is valuable.
Club names: several forms are in use (MAS or Maghreb de Fès, Raja CA or Raja Casablanca, AS FAR or FAR Rabat). Pick the most common name and add the date.
Sometimes thinner data: some clubs are less covered online than the major European leagues. The analysis’s data-quality rating flags this.

How Prediction AI analyses a Botola Pro match

You type in the two teams, with names suggested as you type, and the match date if you know it. The analysis then works in two steps. First, a web search gathers the verifiable facts about the match: date, ground, which side is at home, recent results, league position and absences. Then the artificial intelligence estimates the probabilities from that file of facts. For every match, the analysis covers:

Recent form: each side’s last five competitive matches in all competitions, with goals scored and conceded per match, clean sheets and matches in which both teams scored.
League position and absences: where each club stands and which key players are injured or suspended.
Head-to-head record: the most recent meetings of the two sides, put in context.
Key players: goals, assists and availability of the most decisive players this season.
Referee: once appointed, their average cards and penalties per game; otherwise the referee is shown as not yet appointed, with no invented statistics.
Probabilities: home win, draw and away win (1X2), over or under 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the most likely scoreline, likely scorers and the probability of more than 4.5 cards.
Three forecasts: from the most cautious to the boldest, each with its probability, together with a data-quality rating and the assumptions made where information is missing.

These probabilities are uncertain estimates: a favourite can lose and a model can be wrong. To interpret them properly, especially the weight of the draw, read our guide how to read 1X2 probabilities.

FAQ: three factual questions

How many clubs and matchweeks are there in the Botola Pro?

In 2026-27 the Botola Pro has 16 clubs and 30 matchweeks, or 240 matches. The season kicked off on 24 September 2026.

Who were the 2025-26 Moroccan champions?

Maghreb de Fès (MAS), with 59 points, two more than RS Berkane. It was their fifth title and their first since 1985.

Are there many draws in the Botola Pro?

Yes: in 2025-26, 83 of the 240 matches ended level, or 35%, with an average of 2.16 goals per match.

About Prediction AI

Prediction AI is a predictive sports analysis platform powered by artificial intelligence. To see how it works and what subscriptions are available, take a look at the Prediction AI plans. Analyses are provided for information only, with no promise of any result.