Olympiacos vs PAOK prediction: AI analysis of the Greek derby (8 November 2026)

Stade de football éclairé avant le derby Olympiakos – PAOK

The Olympiacos vs PAOK derby is played on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus, in the Greek Super League. It is the game of the round: Olympiacos are chasing top spot and PAOK want to stay in touch. Here is the data that matters before kick-off, as a prediction model reads it.

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The table before the derby

PosTeamPW-D-LGDPts
1Panathinaikos98-0-1+1624
2Olympiacos97-1-1+1122
3Aris106-1-3-119
4PAOK96-0-3+618
5AEK Athens85-2-1+1617

Source: ESPN, table before the games of 8 November 2026. Aris have played one game more and AEK one fewer.

What is at stake: a win takes Olympiacos to 25 points and puts pressure on Panathinaikos, who play Iraklis in Thessaloniki the same day. A win takes PAOK to 21, one point behind Olympiacos. At the end of the regular season the top 4 go into the title play-offs, so every derby counts double.

Form: last 5 league games

Olympiacos: 5 wins, 12 scored, 2 conceded

  • 31/10: Kifisia 2-3 Olympiacos
  • 25/10: Olympiacos 5-0 Kalamata
  • 18/10: Panetolikos 0-2 Olympiacos
  • 11/10: Olympiacos 1-0 Panathinaikos
  • 20/9: Levadiakos 0-1 Olympiacos

PAOK: 3 wins, 2 defeats, 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • 1/11: PAOK 2-1 Asteras Tripolis
  • 25/10: OFI Crete 2-1 PAOK
  • 18/10: PAOK 2-1 Iraklis
  • 12/10: PAOK 1-3 Kalamata
  • 20/9: Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK

Source: ESPN results pages of both clubs.

What the data says

  • Home advantage and form favour Olympiacos. Five league wins in a row, with clean sheets in 4 of those 5 games. On 11/10 they beat current leaders Panathinaikos 1-0.
  • PAOK score, but concede. In each of their last 5 games both teams scored and there were at least 3 goals. They already have 3 defeats, against just one each for Olympiacos and Panathinaikos.
  • Two opposite profiles. Olympiacos play tighter games: only 2 of their last 5 had 3 goals or more. PAOK play open games. Who sets the tempo is the key to the derby.

The trend: on this data Olympiacos start as favourites, but nothing is certain. A derby is often decided by one chance, a red card or a set piece. The exact 1X2 percentages and the match analysis with the latest team news are calculated in the app.

What to check before kick-off

  • The official line-ups, announced shortly before the game.
  • Absences and suspensions announced by both clubs.
  • The result of Iraklis vs Panathinaikos the same day, which changes the pressure at the top.

To read a prediction correctly, see our guide: how reliable is an AI match prediction? The league format (play-offs, play-outs) is explained on the page Greek Super League: match analysis.

The next round

On 22 November 2026 Olympiacos host Iraklis at the Karaiskakis and PAOK host Kifisia at the Toumba (ESPN fixtures).

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Prediction AI is an AI-powered predictive sports analysis platform: for every match it gives 1X2 probabilities and an analysis based on the latest data. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties. See the plans, with a 7-day money-back guarantee on the first payment.

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