Serie A predictions, matchday 12: AI analysis of every game (21-23 November 2026)

Tablette affichant une analyse tactique des matchs de Serie A

After the international break, Serie A returns from 21 to 23 November 2026 with matchday 12. At the top it is a three-way race: Lazio, Inter and Roma are separated by 2 points. The big game is Atalanta vs Inter. Here is the table and, for each game, the data that matters and the trend it points to.

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The table after 11 matchdays

PosTeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio119-2-025-929
2Inter119-1-128-1328
3Roma118-3-031-1027
4Milan117-3-123-1324
5Como117-2-218-1023
6Frosinone116-2-324-1520
7Juventus115-3-315-1218
8Bologna115-2-416-1417
9Cagliari115-1-510-1516
10Napoli114-3-418-1415
11Torino114-2-515-1714
12Atalanta114-2-517-2014
13Genoa114-1-611-1613
14Lecce113-1-712-2210
15Fiorentina112-3-617-259
16Parma112-2-79-178
17Sassuolo112-2-716-298
18Monza112-1-817-257
19Venezia112-0-98-216
20Udinese111-2-812-255

Source: ESPN, 2026-27 Serie A table on 10 November 2026. Lazio and Roma are the only unbeaten sides.

Saturday 21 November

Como vs Cagliari

Como are 5th on 23 points with one of the best defences (10 conceded, like Roma). Last time out they lost 0-2 to Inter at San Siro. Cagliari, 9th, beat Frosinone 1-0 but have scored only 10 goals in 11 games. Trend: Como favourites.

Lazio vs Lecce

The leaders are unbeaten (9 wins, 2 draws) and have conceded just 9 goals, the best defence in the league. Lecce are 14th and have conceded 22. Trend: Lazio clear favourites.

Parma vs Roma

Roma have the best attack (31 goals) and the best goal difference (+21), fresh from a 3-0 win over Sassuolo. Parma have scored only 9 goals and are 16th. Trend: Roma favourites, even away.

Napoli vs Torino

Napoli are only 10th (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats) but held Lazio 1-1. Torino are 11th, one point behind, after a 1-1 with Lecce. Trend: a slight edge for Napoli at home.

Sunday 22 November

Juventus vs Venezia

Juventus are 7th on 18 points after a 2-2 in Florence. Venezia are second from bottom with the weakest attack in the league (8 goals). Trend: Juventus favourites.

Bologna vs Udinese

Bologna, 8th, won away at Parma last time out. Udinese are bottom on 5 points with a single win. Trend: Bologna favourites.

Sassuolo vs Genoa

Sassuolo have the worst defence (29 conceded) but they score: 16 goals. Genoa, 13th, lost 1-2 to AC Milan. Trend: an even game, with goals likely.

AC Milan vs Frosinone

Milan are 4th on 24 points after a 2-1 win in Genoa. Frosinone are the surprise of the season: 6th, with 24 goals scored, but they lost 0-1 in Cagliari. Trend: Milan favourites, but Frosinone can score.

Atalanta vs Inter, the big game

Inter are 2nd, one point behind Lazio, with 9 wins in 11 games and 28 goals scored, after a 2-0 win over Como. Atalanta are 12th (14 points) and have conceded 20, but won 1-0 at Monza. Trend: Inter favourites in Bergamo, in a game that stays open.

Monday 23 November

Monza vs Fiorentina

A relegation battle: Monza are 18th on 7 points, Fiorentina 15th on 9. A curiosity: both sides have exactly the same goals record, 17 scored and 25 conceded. Fiorentina come off a 2-2 with Juventus. Trend: an even game.

How to read these trends

These trends rely only on the table, the latest result and goals. They do not account for absences, suspensions and line-ups, announced shortly before each game, nor for fatigue after the break. Probabilities are estimates, not certainties: see our guide how reliable is an AI match prediction? and the one on expected goals (xG). League format and stats: Serie A: probabilities and stats. During the break: our Italy vs France prediction.

Match probabilities on Prediction AI

Prediction AI is an AI-powered predictive sports analysis platform: for every Serie A game it gives 1X2 probabilities and an analysis based on the latest data of the day. See the plans, with a 7-day money-back guarantee on the first payment.

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